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Millers Banter: Unofficial Rotherham United Fans Forum / Message Board → Football / Sport / RUFC Related → odds and sods
 

Topic: odds and sods

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ian
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odds and sods
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-league One teams get a basic award of £732,000 and a solidarity payment of £675,000 this season.So that’s £1,407,000. In comparison Championship clubs receive the same fixed Basic Award from the TV deals and a Solidarity Payment, which is part of a trickledown agreement with the Premier League.

-Each Championship team will get a basic £2.3m plus a £4.5m solidarity payment+ oone televised game=7 million.

ODDS:

1. Swansea - 15/2 to win the title, 3/1 to be promoted, 33/1 to relegated

2. Stoke - 15/2 to win the title, 3/1 to be promoted, 28/1 to be relegated

 

3. West Brom - 15/2 to win the title, 3/1 to be promoted, 28/1 to be relegated

4. Aston Villa - 15/2 to win the title, 7/2 to be promoted, 33/1 to be relegated

5. Middlesbrough - 10/1 to win the title, 7/2 to be promoted, 33/1 to be relegated

6. Derby - 16/1 to win the title, 11/2 to be promoted, 16/1 to be relegated

7. Brentford - 16/1 to win the title, 11/2 to be promoted, 12/1 to be relegated

8. Norwich City - 20/1 to win the title, 13/2 to be promoted, 8/1 to be relegated

9. Leeds United - 20/1 to win the title, 13/2 to be promoted, 15/2 to be relegated

10. Sheffield Wednesday - 20/1 to win the title, 13/2 to be promoted, 15/2 to be relegated

11. Sheffield United - 25/1 to win the title, 7/1 to be promoted, 13/2 to be relegated

12. Wigan Athletic - 25/1 to win the title, 7/1 to be promoted, 6/1 to be relegated

14. Bristol City - 25/1 to win the title, 7/1 to be promoted, 6/1 to be relegated

15. Birmingham - 25/1 to win the title, 7/1 to be promoted, 6/1 to be relegated

16. Blackburn - 28/1 to win the title, 8/1 to be promoted, 11/2 to be relegated

17. Preston - 28/1 to win the title, 8/1 to be promoted, 11/2 to be relegated

18. Nottingham Forest - 28/1 to win the title, 8/1 to be promoted, 5/1 to be relegated

19. Reading - 33/1 to win the title, 9/1 to be promoted, 9/2 to be relegated

20. Millwall - 33/1 to win the title, 9/1 to be promoted, 4/1 to be relegated

21. QPR - 40/1 to win the title, 10/1 to be promoted, 4/1 to be relegated

22. Ipswich - 50/1 to win the title, 12/1 to be promoted, 11/4 to be relegated

23. Bolton - 50/1 to win the title, 12/1 to be promoted, 5/2 to be relegated

24. Rotherham - 66/1 to win the title, 12/1 to be promoted, 2/1 to be relegated

 

I didnt know that:

http://www.allnigeriasoccer.com/read_news.php?nid=27918
Ref was good
https://theref.online/mark-halsey-rob-jones-deserves-promotion-to-premier-league/

 



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T71
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It's scary that. Trying to find 3 sides that's going to finish below us.



-- Edited by T71 on Monday 28th of May 2018 07:47:54 PM

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Exetermiller
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Not sure why Wigan & Blackburn are so high up, unless they can spend?

It is scary being the smallest fish, but that's what we're about isn't it? and I'd rather that than in L1, the cash will also give us more opportunity to continue to invest in the club infrastructure, something going on the accounts would be near impossible to do in L1

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Trevor Likely
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So the bookies have us at 2/1 to go down. This means they think the probability of our relegation is 0.33, i.e. they think we are twice as likely to stay up than go down. I'm quite encouraged by that - it suggests another three years in the Championship.

Probabilities of the 5 teams just above us in the list of getting relegated are:
Reading 0.18
QPR 0.2
Millwall 0.2
Ipswich 0.27
Bolton 0.29

These probabilities add to 1.14 which means the bookies think one of them is going down. In fact the bookies think it is far more likely that one of Reading, QPR, Millwall, Ipswich or Bolton will go down than we will. Factor in Richard Wood's magic hat and we are more or less safe already. My main fear is what excuse the league will give to inevitably deduct three points two games before the end of the season - I guess they have already tasked someone to enforce it.





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smiler
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I have further cause for encouragement for you Trevor. It is so likely (no pun intended) that we will be docked points that I think the bookies may have already factored into their market making.

Someone usually hits the financial buffers like Blackpool and Bolton did and drifts away. Forest may be the best bet for that. Not a lot of stability there. 

Bolton must be a candidate to finish below us, and my water is telling me that Ipswich might struggle without McCarthy. Those Tractor Boys might be asking him to come back at Christmas. 

Reading and Birmingham are no world beaters.

Millwall might find it tougher second time around.

Nothing to worry about.



-- Edited by smiler on Monday 28th of May 2018 10:43:07 PM



-- Edited by smiler on Monday 28th of May 2018 10:44:02 PM

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Archie
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smiler wrote:

I have further cause for encouragement for you Trevor. It is so likely (no pun intended) that we will be docked points that I think the bookies may have already factored into their market making.

Someone usually hits the financial buffers like Blackpool and Bolton did and drifts away. Forest may be the best bet for that. Not a lot of stability there. 

Bolton must be a candidate to finish below us, and my water is telling me that Ipswich might struggle without McCarthy. Those Tractor Boys might be asking him to come back at Christmas. 

Reading and Birmingham are no world beaters.

Millwall might find it tougher second time around.

Nothing to worry about.



-- Edited by smiler on Monday 28th of May 2018 10:43:07 PM



-- Edited by smiler on Monday 28th of May 2018 10:44:02 PM

  I know it was probably a 'tongue in cheek' comment Smiler but, I'm genuinely not worried, just going to enjoy the ride!

  Just looking at that list posted by Ian makes me smile, some of those teams and their grounds are truly mouth-watering!

 

 



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GlennMiller
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I reckon at least 11 of those teams will fill the away end and there's the expected carnival atmosphere that always accompanies a Millwall visit! Lots to look forward to!

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ian
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That's right .

So much to look forward to on the footy front. Very greatful. What a wonderful time it's been these last several years to be a miller.

Oh to
Oh to be
Oh to be a miller.!

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wotsisname
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A great deal to look forward to next season. I'm glad that I've renewed my season ticket.

Come on the Reds!

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